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Odds for a 50-basis-point cut are at 61% from 30% a week ago, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, which showed a 39% probability of a 25-basis-point reduction. There is concern that an outsized ...
Markets are pricing in a near-100% chance the Fed will cut rates another quarter-point at their December policy meeting, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
The odds of a 25-basis-point rate cut fell to less than 60% shortly after Powell's comments, down from 80%, as calculated by the CME FedWatch Tool. The probability remained lower, around 58%, on ...
Markets are pricing in a near-100% chance the Fed will pause its rate-cutting cycle at its January policy meeting, and a 61% chance it will pause rates in February as well, according to the CME ...
The CME Group's FedWatch tool also suggests there is a 98% chance of a cut in December. It uses data from the Fed Funds Futures market to calculate that probability -- in other words, it's a good ...
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets see a 77% chance of a Fed rate cut at the December 18 FOMC meeting. That chance was at 65% earlier on Monday.
The CME FedWatch Tool computes the probabilities based on trading in fed funds futures contracts at the exchange, where traders are placing their bets on the level of the effective fed funds rate ...
That's considerably below what investors see as the highest-probability outcome, as calculated by the CME FedWatch Tool. It currently sees a 30% chance of rates being in the 3.75%-4.0% range by ...