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In probability theory, the conditional expectation, conditional expected value, or conditional mean of a random variable is its expected value evaluated with respect to the conditional probability distribution. If the random variable can take on only a finite number of values, the "conditions" are that the variable can only take on a subset of ...
If the conditional distribution of given is a continuous distribution, then its probability density function is known as the conditional density function. [1] The properties of a conditional distribution, such as the moments , are often referred to by corresponding names such as the conditional mean and conditional variance .
The conditional probability can be found by the quotient of the probability of the joint intersection of events A and B, that is, (), the probability at which A and B occur together, and the probability of B: [2] [6] [7]
The conditional variance tells us how much variance is left if we use to "predict" Y. Here, as usual, E ( Y ∣ X ) {\displaystyle \operatorname {E} (Y\mid X)} stands for the conditional expectation of Y given X , which we may recall, is a random variable itself (a function of X , determined up to probability one).
Conditional expectation; Expectation (epistemic) Expectile – related to expectations in a way analogous to that in which quantiles are related to medians; Law of total expectation – the expected value of the conditional expected value of X given Y is the same as the expected value of X; Median – indicated by in a drawing above
In probability theory, the law of total variance [1] or variance decomposition formula or conditional variance formulas or law of iterated variances also known as Eve's law, [2] states that if and are random variables on the same probability space, and the variance of is finite, then
In probability theory, conditional independence describes situations wherein an observation is irrelevant or redundant when evaluating the certainty of a hypothesis. . Conditional independence is usually formulated in terms of conditional probability, as a special case where the probability of the hypothesis given the uninformative observation is equal to the probability
Quantile regression is a type of regression analysis used in statistics and econometrics. Whereas the method of least squares estimates the conditional mean of the response variable across values of the predictor variables, quantile regression estimates the conditional median (or other quantiles) of the response variable.