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As we look ahead to winter 2023, the Idaho Statesman looked back at the Farmer’s Almanac’s 2022 winter forecast to see how it fared.
For over 200 years, the Old Farmer's Almanac and the Farmers' Almanac have predicted long-range forecasts across the nation by using formulas that each have kept cloaked in secrecy.
Which prediction is more accurate? The Farmers' Almanac admits that "weather forecasting, and long-range forecasting, in particular, remains an inexact science." Even still, it claims an accuracy ...
Most scientific analyses of the accuracy of Farmers' Almanac forecasts have shown a 50% rate of accuracy, [7] [8] which is higher than that of groundhog prognostication, a folklore method of forecasting. [9] USA Today states that "according to numerous media analyses neither the Old Farmer's Almanac nor the Farmers' Almanac gets it right". [10]
Though the almanac claims an 80% accuracy rate on long-term weather forecasts, the organization also admits its 2023 predictions were significantly less accurate than this usual claimed rate.
The Farmer’s Almanac is predicting a cold and snowy winter again for 2022. But it’s the equivalent of throwing a dart at a board full of meteorology terms.
The Old Farmer's Almanac claims 80% accuracy in its long-range predictions. It says it employs solar science, climatology and meteorology in its seasonal forecasts. The almanac dates to 1792.
The Farmers' Almanac, first published by Robert B. Thomas in 1792 for the year 1793, was created to provide a variety of information including weather forecasts, planting schedules, and ...