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  2. What to know about the potential $30 million whale moving ...

    www.aol.com/5-things-know-mystery-30-172117457.html

    This year, Polymarket has seen $1.75 billion worth of trading volume, according to data from The Block, with betting activity exploding on US election outcomes. In October alone, the betting ...

  3. Polymarket users who bet on the presidential election might ...

    www.aol.com/finance/polymarket-users-bet...

    After all, he did the same thing following the 2020 election, which led to recounts and the Jan. 6, 2021, insurrection at the U.S. Capitol. That means having clearcut election results tomorrow ...

  4. Harris-Trump polls tighten, but PredictIt and Polymarket tell ...

    www.aol.com/finance/harris-trump-polls-tighten...

    Meanwhile, Polymarket shows Trump has a 54% chance of winning the presidential election with Harris trailing behind at just a 45.3% chance. PredictIt’s markets are a little closer.

  5. 2024 United States elections - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_elections

    By June 2024, illegal crossings reached a three-year low following four consecutive monthly drops, which senior government officials attributed to increased enforcement between the United States and Mexico, the weather, and Biden's executive order which increased asylum restrictions, [39] but were still higher than average numbers recorded by ...

  6. Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States ...

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling...

    This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2024 United States presidential election. Those named in the polls were declared candidates or had received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

  7. Polymarket users have wagered $3.2 billion on the outcome of ...

    www.aol.com/finance/polymarket-users-wagered-3-2...

    The 2024 election was filled with new and unprecedented developments in the history of American electoral politics: A sitting President was pushed out of the race by his own party ...

  8. Long before Polymarket, election polls and predictions were ...

    www.aol.com/finance/long-polymarket-election...

    Polls misfired during the election campaigns of 2012, 2016, and 2020. Their collective performance four years ago was their worst since 1980.

  9. A mystery Polymarket trader bet major money that Trump would ...

    www.aol.com/finance/french-whale-polymarket-just...

    In the weeks leading up to the 2024 presidential election, what appeared to be a small group of traders dumped millions of dollars into Polymarket, betting that Donald Trump would win.