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  2. AccuWeather predicts 'explosive' 2024 hurricane season; North ...

    www.aol.com/accuweather-predicts-explosive-2024...

    More: Hurricane season could be a doozy AccuWeather 2024 hurricane season forecast. Here's the AccuWeather forecast for the upcoming season: 20-25 named storms. 8-12 hurricanes. 4-7 major hurricanes

  3. Tropical cyclone forecast model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/.../Tropical_cyclone_forecast_model

    The first dynamical hurricane track forecast model, the Sanders Barotropic Tropical Cyclone Track Prediction Model (SANBAR), [9] was introduced in 1970 and was used by the National Hurricane Center as part of its operational track guidance through 1989. It was based on a simplified set of atmospheric dynamical equations (the equivalent ...

  4. Tropical cyclone track forecasting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropical_cyclone_track...

    Tropical cyclone track forecasting involves predicting where a tropical cyclone is going to track over the next five days, every 6 to 12 hours. The history of tropical cyclone track forecasting has evolved from a single-station approach to a comprehensive approach which uses a variety of meteorological tools and methods to make predictions.

  5. Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting Model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Weather_Research...

    Over the next several years, this model promises to improve forecasts for tropical cyclone intensity, wave and storm surge, and hurricane-related inland flooding." She also says that the HWRF "will be one of the most dynamic tools available" for forecasters. [2] Development of the HWRF model began in 2002. [4] In 2007, the HWRF model became ...

  6. Hurricane track forecasts have hit a wall but new modeling ...

    www.aol.com/hurricane-track-forecasts-hit-wall...

    University of Miami Senior Research Associate Brian McNoldy's annual hurricane track comparison graphic shows improvements from 2004 and 2014, but he says the 2024 cone is larger than recent years.

  7. Helene now projected as Category 4 hurricane, could get ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/tropical-storm-helene-become-major...

    TALLAHASSEE, Fla. – Hurricane Helene is now predicted to reach Florida as a Category 4 hurricane, part of a frightening forecast of 130-mph winds and high storm surge that brings a dire scenario ...

  8. Helene tracker: See projected path as storm continues to ...

    www.aol.com/helene-tracker-see-projected-path...

    Tropical Depression Helene spaghetti models. Illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest ...

  9. History of numerical weather prediction - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_numerical...

    Bottom: The spread of NHC multi-model ensemble forecast. During 1972, the first model to forecast storm surge along the continental shelf was developed, known as the Special Program to List the Amplitude of Surges from Hurricanes (SPLASH). [65] In 1978, the first hurricane-tracking model based on atmospheric dynamics – the movable fine-mesh ...