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Expected shortfall is also called conditional value at risk (CVaR), [1] average value at risk (AVaR), expected tail loss (ETL), and superquantile. [ 2 ] ES estimates the risk of an investment in a conservative way, focusing on the less profitable outcomes.
Value at risk is, however, coherent, under the assumption of elliptically distributed losses (e.g. normally distributed) when the portfolio value is a linear function of the asset prices. However, in this case the value at risk becomes equivalent to a mean-variance approach where the risk of a portfolio is measured by the variance of the ...
In financial mathematics, tail value at risk (TVaR), also known as tail conditional expectation (TCE) or conditional tail expectation (CTE), is a risk measure associated with the more general value at risk. It quantifies the expected value of the loss given that an event outside a given probability level has occurred.
Many risk measures have hitherto been proposed, each having certain characteristics. The entropic value at risk (EVaR) is a coherent risk measure introduced by Ahmadi-Javid, [1] [2] which is an upper bound for the value at risk (VaR) and the conditional value at risk (CVaR), obtained from the Chernoff inequality.
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In quantitative finance, the worst-case approach can be overconservative. One alternative is to discard some odd situations to reduce pessimism; [7] moreover, scenario optimization can be applied to other risk-measures including CVaR – Conditional Value at Risk – so adding to the flexibility of its use. [14]
The 5% Value at Risk of a hypothetical profit-and-loss probability density function. Value at risk (VaR) is a measure of the risk of loss of investment/capital. It estimates how much a set of investments might lose (with a given probability), given normal market conditions, in a set time period such as a day.
Conditional value at risk is a distortion risk measure with associated distortion function () = {<. [2] [3] The negative expectation is a distortion risk measure with associated distortion function g ( x ) = x {\displaystyle g(x)=x} .