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Except for losing one poll in August 2015, and tying with Trump in a poll in September 2015, Clinton won every pre-election poll with margins between 4 and 12 points until November 2016. In late October 2016, Clinton's lead narrowed significantly towards the election. Trump also won the last poll conducted on election day 49% to 47%. [30]
October 8, 2016. Archived from the original on October 9, 2016. Retrieved October 8, 2016. ^ ab "Clinton has significant lead among likely Virginia voters; 53% say Trump is racist, but 54% wouldn't trust Clinton" (PDF). The Judy Ford Wason Center for Public Policy. Christopher Newport University.
Similarly, in 2016, the RealClearPolitics average of polls had Clinton up by nearly four points in Michigan against Trump. Trump ended up winning by 0.3 points.
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [2] November 3–5, 2016 86%: 7% 79%: 1,282 likely voters ± 2.7% ... Exit polls for the 2016 election. Bloomberg Politics Poll Decoder.
We simulated a Nov. 8 election 10 million times using our state-by-state averages. In 9.8 million simulations, Hillary Clinton ended up with at least 270 electoral votes. Therefore, we say Clinton has a 98.0 percent chance of becoming president. Frequency of electoral. vote scenario.
Donald Trump won the general election of Tuesday, November 8, 2016. He lost the popular vote but won the electoral college . [ 1 ] [ 2 ] Most polls correctly predicted a popular vote victory for Hillary Clinton , but overestimated the size of her lead, with the result that Trump's electoral college victory was a surprise to analysts.
September 19, 2024 at 5:51 PM. Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are locked in a close race with seven weeks left. A slew of new national and swing-state polls have come out in the past 24 hours ...
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