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The FedWatch tool predicts two 25 basis-point cuts next year, which is significantly less than the five cuts forecast by the Fed itself when it issued its summary of economic projections in September.
Wall Street is even more cautious. According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders expect just one rate cut for the whole of 2025. It's projected to happen in June, which means the Fed might ...
The market probabilities of a rate cut in March have dropped to 56% as of Thursday, per the CME FedWatch Tool. That's down from a 67% chance last week and a 71% chance seen a month ago.
The market probabilities of a rate cut in March have dropped to roughly 46%, per the CME FedWatch Tool. That's down from as much as a 71% chance seen more than a month ago. The odds of a cut in ...
That's considerably below what investors see as the highest-probability outcome, as calculated by the CME FedWatch Tool. It currently sees a 30% chance of rates being in the 3.75%-4.0% range by ...
Odds for a 50-basis-point cut are at 61% from 30% a week ago, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, which showed a 39% probability of a 25-basis-point reduction. There is concern that an outsized ...
Federal Reserve Web Site: Federal Funds Rate Historical Data (including the current rate), Monetary Policy, and Open Market Operations; MoneyCafe.com page with Fed Funds Rate and historical chart and graph ; Historical data (since 1954) comparing the US GDP growth rate versus the US Fed Funds Rate - in the form of a chart/graph
On Monday, markets were pricing in a 44% chance the Federal Reserve doesn't cut interest rates at its December meeting, up from a roughly 24% a month prior, per the CME FedWatch Tool. Bitcoin and ...