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Even the world’s most powerful computers can’t say precisely where the Category 5 storm is headed for landfall when it hits the U.S.
The first dynamical hurricane track forecast model, the Sanders Barotropic Tropical Cyclone Track Prediction Model (SANBAR), [9] was introduced in 1970 and was used by the National Hurricane Center as part of its operational track guidance through 1989. It was based on a simplified set of atmospheric dynamical equations (the equivalent ...
Forecasters say soon-to-be Hurricane Helene could undergo a Fujiwhara "interaction" with another storm over the south-central U.S., which the weather service refers to as a trough of low pressure ...
A combination of factors can lead to exceptionally high rainfall amounts, as was seen during Hurricane Mitch in Central America. [1] Use of forecast models can help determine the magnitude and pattern of the rainfall expected. Climatology and persistence models, such as r-CLIPER, can create a baseline for tropical cyclone rainfall forecast ...
One model predicted an increase from 2 to 13 in the number of cyclones with hurricane-force winds in the waters offshore western Europe. The study suggested that conditions favorable for tropical cyclones would expand 1,100 km (680 mi) to the east.
Tropical Storm Joyce formed in the central tropical Atlantic Ocean Friday morning, according to the National Hurricane Center. The storm was located about 1,325 miles east of the Northern Leeward ...
Hurricane Irma's path was such that its impact was both far-reaching and devastating, with landfalls in Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Martin, the Bahamas, Cuba, and the United States, all at major hurricane intensity. Furthermore, the size of the storm system meant that destruction was prevalent even in territories well removed from landfall ...
Spaghetti model illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The Hurricane Center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help ...