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  2. Independence (probability theory) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independence_(probability...

    Independence is a fundamental notion in probability theory, as in statistics and the theory of stochastic processes.Two events are independent, statistically independent, or stochastically independent [1] if, informally speaking, the occurrence of one does not affect the probability of occurrence of the other or, equivalently, does not affect the odds.

  3. Birthday problem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Birthday_problem

    This process can be generalized to a group of n people, where p(n) is the probability of at least two of the n people sharing a birthday. It is easier to first calculate the probability p (n) that all n birthdays are different. According to the pigeonhole principle, p (n) is zero when n > 365. When n ≤ 365:

  4. Conditional probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_probability

    Given two events A and B from the sigma-field of a probability space, with the unconditional probability of B being greater than zero (i.e., P(B) > 0), the conditional probability of A given B (()) is the probability of A occurring if B has or is assumed to have happened. [5]

  5. Probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability

    The probabilities of rolling several numbers using two dice. Probability is the branch of mathematics and statistics concerning events and numerical descriptions of how likely they are to occur. The probability of an event is a number between 0 and 1; the larger the probability, the more likely an event is to occur.

  6. Bayes' theorem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes'_theorem

    The Joint Probability reconciles these two predictions by multiplying them together. The last line (the Posterior Probability) is calculated by dividing the Joint Probability for each hypothesis by the sum of both joint probabilities. [28]

  7. Chain rule (probability) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chain_rule_(probability)

    In probability theory, the chain rule [1] (also called the general product rule [2] [3]) describes how to calculate the probability of the intersection of, not necessarily independent, events or the joint distribution of random variables respectively, using conditional probabilities.

  8. Conditional dependence - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_Dependence

    In essence probability is influenced by a person's information about the possible occurrence of an event. For example, let the event be 'I have a new phone'; event be 'I have a new watch'; and event be 'I am happy'; and suppose that having either a new phone or a new watch increases the probability of my being happy.

  9. Law of total probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_total_probability

    In probability theory, the law (or formula) of total probability is a fundamental rule relating marginal probabilities to conditional probabilities. It expresses the total probability of an outcome which can be realized via several distinct events , hence the name.