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  2. Margin of error - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Margin_of_error

    For a confidence level, there is a corresponding confidence interval about the mean , that is, the interval [, +] within which values of should fall with probability . Precise values of z γ {\displaystyle z_{\gamma }} are given by the quantile function of the normal distribution (which the 68–95–99.7 rule approximates).

  3. Confidence interval - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confidence_interval

    The confidence interval can be expressed in terms of statistical significance, e.g.: "The 95% confidence interval represents values that are not statistically significantly different from the point estimate at the .05 level." [20] Interpretation of the 95% confidence interval in terms of statistical significance.

  4. Binomial proportion confidence interval - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomial_proportion...

    The probability density function (PDF) for the Wilson score interval, plus PDF s at interval bounds. Tail areas are equal. Since the interval is derived by solving from the normal approximation to the binomial, the Wilson score interval ( , + ) has the property of being guaranteed to obtain the same result as the equivalent z-test or chi-squared test.

  5. Rule of three (statistics) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rule_of_three_(statistics)

    The rule can then be derived [2] either from the Poisson approximation to the binomial distribution, or from the formula (1−p) n for the probability of zero events in the binomial distribution. In the latter case, the edge of the confidence interval is given by Pr(X = 0) = 0.05 and hence (1−p) n = .05 so n ln(1–p) = ln .05 ≈ −2

  6. Sample size determination - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sample_size_determination

    To determine an appropriate sample size n for estimating proportions, the equation below can be solved, where W represents the desired width of the confidence interval. The resulting sample size formula, is often applied with a conservative estimate of p (e.g., 0.5): = / for n, yielding the sample size Sample sizes for binomial proportions ...

  7. Fieller's theorem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fieller's_theorem

    a) The expression inside the square root has to be positive, or else the resulting interval will be imaginary. b) When g is very close to 1, the confidence interval is infinite. c) When g is greater than 1, the overall divisor outside the square brackets is negative and the confidence interval is exclusive.

  8. Opinion: Why the margin of error matters in the 2024 election ...

    www.aol.com/opinion-why-margin-error-matters...

    A 2024 general election mail ballot issued by the Erie County Board of Elections.

  9. Interval estimation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Interval_estimation

    In statistics, interval estimation is the use of sample data to estimate an interval of possible values of a parameter of interest. This is in contrast to point estimation, which gives a single value. [1] The most prevalent forms of interval estimation are confidence intervals (a frequentist method) and credible intervals (a Bayesian method). [2]