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  2. Sahm rule - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sahm_rule

    In macroeconomics, the Sahm rule, or Sahm rule recession indicator, is a heuristic measure by the United States' Federal Reserve for determining when an economy has entered a recession. [1] It is useful in real-time evaluation of the business cycle and relies on monthly unemployment data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

  3. A new indicator says there's a 40% chance the US is in a recession that started as early as March. The measure builds on the Sahm rule, using job-vacancy data in addition to unemployment data.

  4. One of the most accurate recession indicators is close to ...

    www.aol.com/finance/one-most-accurate-recession...

    The U.S. unemployment rate ticked up to 4.1% in June from 4% in the prior month, nearly triggering a reliable recession indicator. While unemployment is still historically low, its rate of ...

  5. A recession indicator with a perfect track record has started ...

    www.aol.com/recession-indicator-perfect-track...

    The ultimate question for investors is whether the current yield curve disinversion will be sustained or if interest rate volatility picks up and the spread between short-term and long-term bonds ...

  6. Coppock curve - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coppock_curve

    The indicator is trend-following, and based on averages, so by its nature it doesn't pick a market bottom, but rather shows when a rally has become established. Coppock designed the indicator (originally called the "Trendex Model" [1]) for the S&P 500 index, and it has been applied to similar stock indexes like the Dow Jones Industrial Average ...

  7. Detrended price oscillator - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Detrended_price_oscillator

    The detrended price oscillator (DPO) is an indicator in technical analysis that attempts to eliminate the long-term trends in prices by using a displaced moving average so it does not react to the most current price action. This allows the indicator to show intermediate overbought and oversold levels effectively. [1] [2]

  8. Economic Indicators (and Which Matter for a Recession) - AOL

    www.aol.com/economic-indicators-matter-recession...

    The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) defines a recession as "a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months." The decline would...

  9. Flag and pennant patterns - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flag_and_pennant_patterns

    The flag and pennant patterns are commonly found patterns in the price charts of financially traded assets (stocks, bonds, futures, etc.). [1] The patterns are characterized by a clear direction of the price trend, followed by a consolidation and rangebound movement, which is then followed by a resumption of the trend. [2]