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  2. Statistical association football predictions - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_association...

    Statistical Football prediction is a method used in sports betting, to predict the outcome of football matches by means of statistical tools. The goal of statistical match prediction is to outperform the predictions of bookmakers [ citation needed ] [ dubious – discuss ] , who use them to set odds on the outcome of football matches.

  3. Football Power Index - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Football_Power_Index

    In addition, there is criticism of the week-by-week changes that FPI makes, rather than making one prediction for each team. [ 6 ] College FPI was heavily criticized after week 2 of the 2017-18 college football season when the Ohio State Buckeyes were listed number one after losing big at home to the Oklahoma Sooners (Oklahoma was 2nd in FPI ...

  4. WASP (cricket calculation tool) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/WASP_(cricket_calculation...

    Winning and Score Predictor (WASP) is a calculation tool used in cricket to predict scores and possible results of a limited overs match, e.g. One Day and Twenty 20 matches. The prediction is based upon factors like the ease of scoring on the day according to the pitch, weather and boundary size.

  5. Mean squared prediction error - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mean_squared_prediction_error

    This page was last edited on 15 November 2024, at 14:41 (UTC).; Text is available under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 License; additional terms may apply.

  6. Prediction interval - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prediction_interval

    The prediction interval is conventionally written as: [, +]. For example, to calculate the 95% prediction interval for a normal distribution with a mean (μ) of 5 and a standard deviation (σ) of 1, then z is approximately 2. Therefore, the lower limit of the prediction interval is approximately 5 ‒ (2⋅1) = 3, and the upper limit is ...

  7. Mean absolute percentage error - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mean_absolute_percentage_error

    This approach leads to superior statistical properties and also leads to predictions which can be interpreted in terms of the geometric mean. [ 5 ] People often think the MAPE will be optimized at the median.

  8. Probabilistic forecasting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probabilistic_forecasting

    Probabilistic forecasting summarizes what is known about, or opinions about, future events. In contrast to single-valued forecasts (such as forecasting that the maximum temperature at a given site on a given day will be 23 degrees Celsius, or that the result in a given football match will be a no-score draw), probabilistic forecasts assign a probability to each of a number of different ...

  9. Brier score - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brier_score

    A skill score for a given underlying score is an offset and (negatively-) scaled variant of the underlying score such that a skill score value of zero means that the score for the predictions is merely as good as that of a set of baseline or reference or default predictions, while a skill score value of one (100%) represents the best possible ...