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When we find fewer than five polls in 2016 or fewer than two polls since July 2016, we use Cook Political Report ratings to estimate where the race stands. We run the simulations out to Election Day, Nov. 8. Since we don’t have polling data for the future, the model assumes voter intentions generally continue along their current trajectories.
Leading presidential 2016 candidate by electoral vote count. States in gray have no polling data. Polls from lightly shaded states are older than September 1, 2016. This map only represents the most recent statewide polling data; it is not a prediction for the 2016 election.
Donald Trump won the general election of Tuesday, November 8, 2016. He lost the popular vote but won the electoral college. [1] [2] Most polls correctly predicted a popular vote victory for Hillary Clinton, but overestimated the size of her lead, with the result that Trump's electoral college victory was a surprise to analysts. Retrospective ...
Chart of Democratic-candidate lead over Republican candidate in final poll and results by year, 1936 to 2016. Gallup was the first polling organization to conduct accurate opinion polling for United States presidential elections.
Presidential polls in Florida. Both Clinton and Trump are campaigning hard in the crucial Sunshine State. A RealClearPolitics average of state polls, as of Oct. 11, gives Clinton a 2.7-point edge ...
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Mayoral elections: 2008; 2012; 2016; ... Green Party of California presidential primary, June 7, 2016 [11] Candidate ... Predictions. Source Ranking
The same poll found that 24 percent of voters said they would either abstain from voting in the general election rather than vote for Trump or Clinton or vote for a third-party candidate.