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  2. Wason selection task - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wason_selection_task

    The correct response is to turn over the 8 card and the red card. The rule was "If the card shows an even number on one face, then its opposite face is blue." Only a card with both an even number on one face and something other than blue on the other face can invalidate this rule: If the 3 card is blue (or red), that doesn't violate the rule.

  3. Coupon collector's problem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coupon_collector's_problem

    In probability theory, the coupon collector's problem refers to mathematical analysis of "collect all coupons and win" contests. It asks the following question: if each box of a given product (e.g., breakfast cereals) contains a coupon, and there are n different types of coupons, what is the probability that more than t boxes need to be bought ...

  4. Contract bridge probabilities - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Contract_bridge_probabilities

    Let ′ (,,,) be the probability of an East player with unknown cards holding cards in a given suit and a West player with unknown cards holding cards in the given suit. The total number of arrangements of (+) cards in the suit in (+) spaces is = (+)!

  5. Probability bounds analysis - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_bounds_analysis

    Probability bounds analysis (PBA) is a collection of methods of uncertainty propagation for making qualitative and quantitative calculations in the face of uncertainties of various kinds. It is used to project partial information about random variables and other quantities through mathematical expressions.

  6. Monty Hall problem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem

    The answer to the first question is ⁠ 2 / 3 ⁠, as is shown correctly by the "simple" solutions. But the answer to the second question is now different: the conditional probability the car is behind door 1 or door 2 given the host has opened door 3 (the door on the right) is ⁠ 1 / 2 ⁠.

  7. Poker probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poker_probability

    Cumulative probability refers to the probability of drawing a hand as good as or better than the specified one. For example, the probability of drawing three of a kind is approximately 2.11%, while the probability of drawing a hand at least as good as three of a kind is about 2.87%. The cumulative probability is determined by adding one hand's ...

  8. Probability interpretations - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_interpretations

    Epistemic or subjective probability is sometimes called credence, as opposed to the term chance for a propensity probability. Some examples of epistemic probability are to assign a probability to the proposition that a proposed law of physics is true or to determine how probable it is that a suspect committed a crime, based on the evidence ...

  9. 100 prisoners problem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/100_prisoners_problem

    Probability distribution of the length of the longest cycle of a random permutation of the numbers 1 to 100. The green area corresponds to the survival probability of the prisoners. In the initial problem, the 100 prisoners are successful if the longest cycle of the permutation has a length of at most 50.