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In her comments she said she anticipated one key measure of inflation, the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index excluding volatile food and energy costs, increased at a 2.8% annual rate ...
“With inflation still well above the Committee’s longer-run goal and the labor market remaining tight, most participants continued to see significant upside risks to inflation, which could ...
“Beyond that, however, the growing risk that Trump will impose tariffs a little earlier than we are assuming presents an upside risk to inflation,” Paul Ashworth, chief North America economist ...
An alternative measure of upside risk is the upper semi-deviation. Upside risk is calculated using data only from days when the benchmark (for example S&P 500 Index) has gone up. [1] Upside risk focuses on uncertain positive returns rather than negative returns. For this reason, upside risk, while a measure of unpredictability of the extent of ...
The strong American consumer could help the US skirt a recession. It could also be what holds back inflation from falling down to the 2% target.
Kashkari’s remarks come ahead of the October inflation report slated for release Wednesday at 8:30 a.m. ET. Economists predict headline inflation could tick up from 2.4% to 2.6% year-over-year ...
As Bill Adams, chief economist at Comerica Bank, noted in a note on Monday, the minutes of the committee’s December meeting showed the Fed’s decision makers all agreed upside risk to inflation ...
The food index increased 2.3% in September over the last year, with food prices rising 0.4% month over month — proving to be a sticky category for inflation. The index for food at home rose 0.4% ...