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Masayoshi Son, the CEO of major AI investor SoftBank, said earlier this month that he expects AGI to arrive "much earlier" than his late-2024 forecast of two to three years.
AI experts' views on the feasibility of AGI wax and wane. Four polls conducted in 2012 and 2013 suggested that the median estimate among experts for when they would be 50% confident AGI would arrive was 2040 to 2050, depending on the poll, with the mean being 2081.
Dario Amodei, the CEO of Anthropic, previously predicted that "powerful AI" could arrive by 2026. Amodei recently told CNBC that AGI was more of a "marketing term."
T he Biden Administration’s move on Jan. 13 to curb exports on the advanced computer chips used to power artificial intelligence (AI) arrived in the wake of two major events over the Christmas ...
Artificial general intelligence (AGI) is typically defined as a system that performs at least as well as humans in most or all intellectual tasks. [42] A 2022 survey of AI researchers found that 90% of respondents expected AGI would be achieved in the next 100 years, and half expected the same by 2061. [43]
Reinforcement learning was used to teach o3 to "think" before generating answers, using what OpenAI refers to as a "private chain of thought". [10] This approach enables the model to plan ahead and reason through tasks, performing a series of intermediate reasoning steps to assist in solving the problem, at the cost of additional computing power and increased latency of responses.
OpenAI says it envisions this technology, commonly dubbed AGI, ... On Sunday, Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis said it could arrive in just five years.
AI systems capable of performing intellectual tasks at or above human level across all domains -- could arrive sooner than many expect, with some experts projecting development as early as 2026.