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Initially, the TED spread was the difference between the interest rates for three-month U.S. Treasuries contracts and the three-month Eurodollars contract as represented by the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR). However, since the Chicago Mercantile Exchange dropped T-bill futures after the 1987 crash, [1] the TED spread was calculated as the
The TED spread, the difference between what banks charge each other for a three-month loan and what the Treasury charges, hit a 26-year high of 3.58%; a higher rate for inter bank loans than Treasury loans is a sign that banks fear that their fellow banks won't be able to pay off their debts.
The TED spread, an indicator of perceived credit risk in the financial system, increased significantly during the crisis. It spiked sharply in August 2007, remained volatile for a year, and spiked even higher in September 2008 to reach a record 4.65% on October 10, 2008.
It has been updated three times since, with the current version referred to as the STLFSI4. STLFSI3 used the past 90-day average backward looking secured overnight financing rate (SOFR) in two spreads, whereas the latest version uses the 90-day forward looking SOFR [1] [2] [3] [4]
However the 10-year vs 3-month portion did not invert until March 22, 2019 and it reverted to a positive slope by April 1, 2019 (i.e. only 8 days later). [26] [27] The month average of the 10-year vs 3-month (bond equivalent yield) difference reached zero basis points in May 2019. Both March and April 2019 had month-average spreads greater than ...
Separately, an ISM survey showed services activity for December stood in expansion territory at 54.1, compared with expectations of 53.3. The index also ticked higher from the previous month's figure.
With polls showing a razor-thin margin in the race for U.S. Senate in Texas, both candidates scooped up tens of millions of dollars in the three months leading into the final sprint to the Nov. 5 ...
Many big companies are pulling workers back to the office five days a week. The Big Four — EY, Deloitte, PwC, and KPMG — are sticking with hybrid work policies.