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Trendlines are 30-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.
3 "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which ...
The 2025 Canadian federal election will elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.Under the fixed-date provisions of the Canada Elections Act, the election would be held on October 20, 2025, but it may be called earlier if the governor general dissolves Parliament on the recommendation of the prime minister, either for a snap election or after the government loses a ...
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Trudeau had, by then, been in power for nine years following his 2015 election victory. He had headed off a caucus revolt in October 2024 over concerns about his unpopularity amid Canada's cost-of-living crisis and rising Conservative poll numbers. [10] Trudeau had been reduced to a minority government in both the 2019 and 2021 elections.
Questions asked on the HuffPost/YouGov poll are administered as part of a daily omnibus process on YouGov’s internet panel. These surveys are conducted in English only. In most cases, the panelists are directed to various other surveys after answering the questions presented here.
The Liberal Party of Canada is holding a leadership election to elect a successor to Justin Trudeau following his announcement on January 6, 2025, of his intention to resign as party leader and as prime minister of Canada as soon as his successor is elected.
The prevalence of Republican-leaning polls in recent weeks is raising questions about their effect on the overall polling average as the presidential race between Vice President Harris and former ...