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Chart from 1950 to about 1990, showing how linear scale obscures details by compressing the data. In finance , a trend line is a bounding line for the price movement of a security . It is formed when a diagonal line can be drawn between a minimum of three or more price pivot points.
All have the same trend, but more filtering leads to higher r 2 of fitted trend line. The least-squares fitting process produces a value, r-squared (r 2), which is 1 minus the ratio of the variance of the residuals to the variance of the dependent variable. It says what fraction of the variance of the data is explained by the fitted trend line.
96% confidence bands around a local polynomial fit to botanical data. A confidence band is used in statistical analysis to represent the uncertainty in an estimate of a curve or function based on limited or noisy data. Similarly, a prediction band is used to represent the uncertainty about the value of a new data-point on the curve, but subject ...
The above eight rules apply to a chart of a variable value. A second chart, the moving range chart, can also be used but only with rules 1, 2, 3 and 4. Such a chart plots a graph of the maximum value - minimum value of N adjacent points against the time sample of the range.
The formulas given in the previous section allow one to calculate the point estimates of α and β — that is, the coefficients of the regression line for the given set of data. However, those formulas do not tell us how precise the estimates are, i.e., how much the estimators ^ and ^ vary from sample to sample for the specified sample size.
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The EWMA chart is sensitive to small shifts in the process mean, but does not match the ability of Shewhart-style charts (namely the ¯ and R and ¯ and s charts) to detect larger shifts. [ 2 ] : 412 One author recommends superimposing the EWMA chart on top of a suitable Shewhart-style chart with widened control limits in order to detect both ...
Log-linear analysis starts with the saturated model and the highest order interactions are removed until the model no longer accurately fits the data. Specifically, at each stage, after the removal of the highest ordered interaction, the likelihood ratio chi-square statistic is computed to measure how well the model is fitting the data.