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The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee.
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Democratic Donald Trump Republican Other/ Undecided [a] Margin 270 to Win [147] October 17–27, 2020 November 3, 2020 61.7%: 32.3% 6.0% Biden +29.4: Real Clear Politics [148] September 26 – October 21, 2020 October 27, 2020 60.7%: 31.0% 8.3% Biden +29.7: FiveThirtyEight ...
Most election predictors for the 2020 United States presidential election used: Tossup: No advantage; Tilt: Advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean" Lean: Slight advantage; Likely: Significant, but surmountable, advantage (highest rating given by CBS News and NPR) Safe or solid: Near-certain chance of victory
There are 17 days remaining from Election Day. As the date is closer to arriving, more polls will come out. However, the reliability of the polls has been questioned recently.
It is informed by turnout in recent elections, details on votes cast in advance and – after polls close – early returns. The estimate may fluctuate as election officials report additional results and AP learns more about how many voters have cast a ballot.
That’s down from a Biden administration peak of 12.66% in July 2022, but up from June’s 6.57%. “If the rule holds this election, Democrats have about 15 basis points of wiggle room before ...
Former Vice President Joe Biden had been leading in most national polls, but President Donald Trump believed that the polls would underestimate him again. Although the polls had underestimated Trump's strength nationally and in Ohio, Florida, and Iowa, Biden won back the blue Midwestern states and made inroads in the Sun Belt to win the election.
So far this year, Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump had led President Biden in most polls, but after the Democrat dropped out of the race and backed Vice President ...