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  2. US 2025 Recession Odds Plummet: Good News Or Warning Sign? - AOL

    www.aol.com/us-2025-recession-odds-plummet...

    That’s due to a surge in leading indicators that suggest strong momentum heading into 2025. ... This article US 2025 Recession Odds Plummet: ...

  3. A new indicator says there's a 40% chance the US is in a recession that started as early as March. The measure builds on the Sahm rule, using job-vacancy data in addition to unemployment data.

  4. There's a sign flashing in the labor market that the US may ...

    www.aol.com/news/theres-sign-flashing-labor...

    The unemployment rate has surpassed its 36-month moving average this year — a signal in the labor market that has always been followed by a recession, according to Société Générale.

  5. Is the U.S. economy really heading for a recession? Here's ...

    www.aol.com/u-economy-really-heading-recession...

    There's good news about the U.S. economy right now: Despite a wave of high-profile layoffs, especially among tech companies, most workers are still employed.

  6. Is the U.S. headed for a recession? Here's what the ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/news/u-headed-recession-heres...

    Here's what the experts say about the chances of a recession. Skip to main content. 24/7 Help. For premium support please call: 800-290-4726 more ways ... 800-290-4726 more ways to reach us.

  7. Americans running out of unemployment benefits and part ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/americans-running-unemployment...

    The job market is flashing signs the US is still headed for a hard-landing, Danielle DiMartino Booth says. The forecaster pointed to workers rolling off unemployment benefits, while part-time jobs ...

  8. The U.S. economy is headed for a hard landing, and Fed rate ...

    www.aol.com/finance/u-economy-headed-hard...

    Last year's consensus was that the U.S. economy was headed for a recession, but that didn't happen. This year's consensus is that we'll have a soft landing, in which the economy slows but won't ...

  9. Economic recession fears grow after bleak jobs report and ...

    www.aol.com/economic-recession-fears-grow-bleak...

    The cooling job market also saw the unemployment rate rise to 4.3 percent in July, up from 4.1 percent last month. The federal data is the latest in a string of worrisome economic news that has ...