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  2. Three-point estimation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Three-point_estimation

    These values are used to calculate an E value for the estimate and a standard deviation (SD) as L-estimators, where: E = (a + 4m + b) / 6 SD = (b − a) / 6. E is a weighted average which takes into account both the most optimistic and most pessimistic estimates provided. SD measures the variability or uncertainty in the estimate.

  3. Point estimation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Point_estimation

    In general, with a normally-distributed sample mean, Ẋ, and with a known value for the standard deviation, σ, a 100(1-α)% confidence interval for the true μ is formed by taking Ẋ ± e, with e = z 1-α/2 (σ/n 1/2), where z 1-α/2 is the 100(1-α/2)% cumulative value of the standard normal curve, and n is the number of data values in that ...

  4. Unbiased estimation of standard deviation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unbiased_estimation_of...

    In statistics and in particular statistical theory, unbiased estimation of a standard deviation is the calculation from a statistical sample of an estimated value of the standard deviation (a measure of statistical dispersion) of a population of values, in such a way that the expected value of the calculation equals the true value.

  5. Prediction interval - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prediction_interval

    For example, to calculate the 95% prediction interval for a normal distribution with a mean (μ) of 5 and a standard deviation (σ) of 1, then z is approximately 2. Therefore, the lower limit of the prediction interval is approximately 5 ‒ (2⋅1) = 3, and the upper limit is approximately 5 + (2⋅1) = 7, thus giving a prediction interval of ...

  6. Standard deviation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Standard_deviation

    An estimate of the standard deviation for N > 100 data taken to be approximately normal follows from the heuristic that 95% of the area under the normal curve lies roughly two standard deviations to either side of the mean, so that, with 95% probability the total range of values R represents four standard deviations so that s ≈ R/4.

  7. Estimation statistics - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Estimation_statistics

    Estimation statistics, or simply estimation, is a data analysis framework that uses a combination of effect sizes, confidence intervals, precision planning, and meta-analysis to plan experiments, analyze data and interpret results. [1]

  8. Least squares - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Least_squares

    The result of fitting a set of data points with a quadratic function Conic fitting a set of points using least-squares approximation. In regression analysis, least squares is a parameter estimation method based on minimizing the sum of the squares of the residuals (a residual being the difference between an observed value and the fitted value provided by a model) made in the results of each ...

  9. Bias of an estimator - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bias_of_an_estimator

    A standard choice of uninformative prior for this problem is the Jeffreys prior, () /, which is equivalent to adopting a rescaling-invariant flat prior for ln(σ 2). One consequence of adopting this prior is that S 2 /σ 2 remains a pivotal quantity , i.e. the probability distribution of S 2 /σ 2 depends only on S 2 /σ 2 , independent of the ...