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  2. One chart shows why an official recession call isn't ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/finance/recession-one-chart-shows...

    So, I don't think the U.S. economy's in recession right now." Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference in Washington, DC, on July 27, 2022.

  3. Is the U.S. headed for a recession? Here's what the experts say.

    www.aol.com/u-headed-recession-heres-experts...

    "Even though today we're not in a recession, the trajectory of the U.S. is one of a slowdown," Daco noted. "Whether payrolls, the unemployment rate, layoffs, they all point to a slowdown in ...

  4. America dodged a recession. Now there's one last pitfall to ...

    www.aol.com/news/america-dodged-recession-now...

    Recession fears are fading and the job market is looking stronger. That's great news for average Americans and the stock market.

  5. Jobs report could trigger closely watched recession indicator

    www.aol.com/finance/jobs-report-could-trigger...

    The Sahm Rule, developed by economist Claudia Sahm, says that the US economy has entered a recession if the three-month average of the national unemployment rate has risen 0.5% or more from the ...

  6. Bank of America warned of a mild recession at the ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/finance/bank-america-warned-mild...

    In June, Gapen argued that instead of facing a mild recession as early as the fourth quarter of 2023, the U.S. was likely to fall into an even more tame “growth recession” in 2024. Then, in ...

  7. The most well-known recession indicator stopped flashing red ...

    www.aol.com/finance/most-well-known-recession...

    When the yield curve, which is the difference between the 10-year and the 2-year, turns positive, or uninverts, right before the Fed starts cutting interest rates, a recession tends to kick in not ...

  8. Are we in a recession or ‘vibecession’? - AOL

    www.aol.com/finance/recession-vibecession...

    What is a recession? Unlike a feeling of being in a down economy, a recession is a significant decline in economic activity across the economy, lasting more than a few months. It is typically ...

  9. Goldman Sachs says a recession is now twice as likely as its ...

    www.aol.com/news/goldman-sachs-says-recession...

    'Even shallower recessions have been unpleasant,' the bank's economists wrote