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If Biden's three narrowest state victories—Wisconsin, Georgia, and Arizona, all of which he won by less than a percentage point—had gone to Trump, there would have been a tie of 269 electors for each candidate, [311] [312] causing a contingent election to be decided by the House of Representatives, where Trump had the advantage. (Even ...
The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee.
Harris is outpacing Trump in national polls kept by the FiveThirtyEight political website with 47 percent support to 44 percent with 62 days to go before the election. But Biden had a bigger lead ...
His approval rating currently sits at 37.4%, a number that’s 5% lower than what Trump had at the same point of his first term, according to polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight. The Biden campaign ...
FiveThirtyEight is the 2008 Weblog Award Winner for "Best Political Coverage". [98] FiveThirtyEight earned a 2009 "Bloggie" as the "Best Weblog about Politics" in the 9th Annual Weblog Awards. [99] In April 2009, Silver was named "Blogger of the Year" in the 6th Annual Opinion Awards of The Week, for his work on FiveThirtyEight. [100]
According to FiveThirtyEight, Trump’s approval rating has remained nearly unchanged in the last three weeks, but his disapproval rating has risen from 41.5% to 45.7%.
State or district EV PVI [1] 2016 result 2020 result Cook Oct 28, 2020 [2] Inside Elections Oct 28, 2020 [3] Sabato Nov 2, 2020 [4] Politico Nov 2, 2020 [5] Real Clear Politics
And Biden’s repairing of it four years later, when he won back all three, was key to Trump’s 2020 loss. Those three states are again among the top battlegrounds, with polls showing dead heats ...