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  2. Buffon's needle problem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Buffon's_needle_problem

    We can calculate the probability P as the product of two probabilities: P = P 1 · P 2, where P 1 is the probability that the center of the needle falls close enough to a line for the needle to possibly cross it, and P 2 is the probability that the needle actually crosses the line, given that the center is within reach.

  3. Mutual exclusivity - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mutual_exclusivity

    The probability that at least one of the events will occur is equal to one. [4] For example, there are theoretically only two possibilities for flipping a coin. Flipping a head and flipping a tail are collectively exhaustive events, and there is a probability of one of flipping either a head or a tail.

  4. Birthday problem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Birthday_problem

    In probability theory, the birthday problem asks for the probability that, in a set of n randomly chosen people, at least two will share the same birthday. The birthday paradox refers to the counterintuitive fact that only 23 people are needed for that probability to exceed 50%.

  5. Multiple comparisons problem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multiple_comparisons_problem

    However, if one considers 100 confidence intervals simultaneously, each with 95% coverage probability, the expected number of non-covering intervals is 5. If the intervals are statistically independent from each other, the probability that at least one interval does not contain the population parameter is 99.4%.

  6. Mutual information - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mutual_information

    In probability theory and information theory, the mutual information (MI) of two random variables is a measure of the mutual dependence between the two variables. More specifically, it quantifies the "amount of information" (in units such as shannons , nats or hartleys) obtained about one random variable by observing the other random variable.

  7. Heckman correction - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heckman_correction

    Since people who work are selected non-randomly from the population, estimating the determinants of wages from the subpopulation who work may introduce bias. The Heckman correction takes place in two stages. In the first stage, the researcher formulates a model, based on economic theory, for the probability of working

  8. Probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability

    A probability is a way of assigning every event a value between zero and one, with the requirement that the event made up of all possible results (in our example, the event {1,2,3,4,5,6}) is assigned a value of one. To qualify as a probability, the assignment of values must satisfy the requirement that for any collection of mutually exclusive ...

  9. Secretary problem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Secretary_problem

    (i) yields for all a success probability of at least 1/e, (ii) is a minimax-optimal strategy for the selector who does not know , (iii) selects, if there is at least one applicant, none at all with probability exactly 1/e. The 1/e-law, proved in 1984 by F. Thomas Bruss, came as a surprise.