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Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to ...
The presidential historian has predicted that Vice President Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential election over former President Donald Trump. ... President betting odds from Smarkets, 538 ...
See live updates of California election results from the 2024 election, including Senate and House races, state elections and ballot initiatives.
In the election Harris indeed carried California by just over 20 points with more than 9.2 million votes. Nevertheless, her margin was noticeably smaller than Joe Biden's 29-point win in 2020, a trend observed in other blue states such as Massachusetts, New York and Illinois, all of which witnessed a decline in Democratic voter turnout. [4]
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The 538 predictive model for the 2024 presidential election shows President Biden more likely to win than former President Trump — Biden’s best odds since May. The model’s Tuesday update ...
In the leadup to Biden's withdrawal, 538 was the only professional election forecaster to give Biden majority odds of winning the 2024 election. [93] Silver criticized Morris's model, describing it as at best ignoring the polls and giving Biden positive odds merely due to his incumbency , and at worst as being "buggy".
After winning the 2016 and 2024 presidential elections, President Donald Trump is ineligible for a third term, due to the provisions of the Twenty-second Amendment. Trump's non-consecutive second term expires at noon on January 20, 2029, when the winners of the election will be inaugurated as the president and vice president of the United States.