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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable is a 2007 book by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, who is a former options trader. The book focuses on the extreme impact of rare and unpredictable outlier events—and the human tendency to find simplistic explanations for these events, retrospectively. Taleb calls this the Black Swan theory.
His book, The Black Swan, is an original and audacious analysis of the ways in which humans try to make sense of unexpected events." [43] A book of aphorisms, The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms, was released in December 2010.
Taleb notes that in the 19th century, John Stuart Mill used the black swan logical fallacy as a new term to identify falsification. [9] Black swan events were discussed by Taleb in his 2001 book Fooled By Randomness, which concerned financial events. His 2007 book The Black Swan extended the metaphor to events outside financial markets. Taleb ...
Nvidia's 17% sell-off could be the beginning of a pullback that's two or three times larger, Nassim Taleb says.. The "Black Swan" author said the DeepSeek-fueled market rout exposed how fragile ...
Nassim Nicholas Taleb at an event for Universa Investments in Miami on Jan. 29, 2024. (va Marie Uzcategui—Bloomberg via Getty Images) Nassim Taleb, who wrote the book The Black Swan, ...
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The ludic fallacy, proposed by Nassim Nicholas Taleb in his book The Black Swan , is "the misuse of games to model real-life situations". [1] Taleb explains the fallacy as "basing studies of chance on the narrow world of games and dice". [2] The adjective ludic originates from the Latin noun ludus, meaning "play, game, sport, pastime". [3]
(Bloomberg Opinion) -- The recent Twitter spat between “Black Swan” author Nassim Nicholas Taleb and quant investing pioneer Cliff Asness over hedging against highly remote events reminded me ...
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