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In probability theory and statistics, the empirical probability, relative frequency, or experimental probability of an event is the ratio of the number of outcomes in which a specified event occurs to the total number of trials, [1] i.e. by means not of a theoretical sample space but of an actual experiment.
John Venn, who provided a thorough exposition of frequentist probability in his book, The Logic of Chance [1]. Frequentist probability or frequentism is an interpretation of probability; it defines an event's probability as the limit of its relative frequency in infinitely many trials (the long-run probability). [2]
In probability theory and statistics, a probability distribution is the mathematical function that gives the probabilities of occurrence of possible outcomes for an experiment. [1] [2] It is a mathematical description of a random phenomenon in terms of its sample space and the probabilities of events (subsets of the sample space). [3]
The cumulative frequency is the total of the absolute frequencies of all events at or below a certain point in an ordered list of events. [1]: 17–19 The relative frequency (or empirical probability) of an event is the absolute frequency normalized by the total number of events:
This image illustrates the convergence of relative frequencies to their theoretical probabilities. The probability of picking a red ball from a sack is 0.4 and black ball is 0.6. The left plot shows the relative frequency of picking a black ball, and the right plot shows the relative frequency of picking a red ball, both over 10,000 trials.
Frequentists posit that the probability of an event is its relative frequency over time, [1] (3.4) i.e., its relative frequency of occurrence after repeating a process a large number of times under similar conditions. This is also known as aleatory probability.
The points plotted as part of an ogive are the upper class limit and the corresponding cumulative absolute frequency [2] or cumulative relative frequency. The ogive for the normal distribution (on one side of the mean) resembles (one side of) an Arabesque or ogival arch, which is likely the origin of its name.
Cumulative frequency distribution, adapted cumulative probability distribution, and confidence intervals. Cumulative frequency analysis is the analysis of the frequency of occurrence of values of a phenomenon less than a reference value. The phenomenon may be time- or space-dependent. Cumulative frequency is also called frequency of non-exceedance.