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  2. Win probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Win_Probability

    Win probability is a statistical tool which suggests a sports team's chances of winning at any given point in a game, based on the performance of historical teams in the same situation. [1] The art of estimating win probability involves choosing which pieces of context matter.

  3. Lottery mathematics - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lottery_mathematics

    Lottery mathematics is used to calculate probabilities of winning or losing a ... The probability of this happening is 1 in 13,983,816. ... is the probability to win; ...

  4. Odds - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Odds

    Calculation of probability (risk) vs odds. In statistics, odds are an expression of relative probabilities, generally quoted as the odds in favor.The odds (in favor) of an event or a proposition is the ratio of the probability that the event will happen to the probability that the event will not happen.

  5. Pythagorean expectation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pythagorean_expectation

    If each team wins in proportion to its quality, A's probability of winning would be 1.25 / (1.25 + 0.8), which equals 50 2 / (50 2 + 40 2), the Pythagorean formula. The same relationship is true for any number of runs scored and allowed, as can be seen by writing the "quality" probability as [50/40] / [ 50/40 + 40/50], and clearing fractions.

  6. Monty Hall problem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem

    The simple solutions show in various ways that a contestant who is determined to switch will win the car with probability ⁠ 2 / 3 ⁠, and hence that switching is the winning strategy, if the player has to choose in advance between "always switching", and "always staying".

  7. Gambling mathematics - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambling_mathematics

    The mathematics of gambling is a collection of probability applications encountered in games of chance and can get included in game theory.From a mathematical point of view, the games of chance are experiments generating various types of aleatory events, and it is possible to calculate by using the properties of probability on a finite space of possibilities.

  8. Problem of points - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Problem_of_points

    The problem of points, also called the problem of division of the stakes, is a classical problem in probability theory.One of the famous problems that motivated the beginnings of modern probability theory in the 17th century, it led Blaise Pascal to the first explicit reasoning about what today is known as an expected value.

  9. Log5 - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Log5

    Log5 is a method of estimating the probability that team A will win a game against team B, based on the odds ratio between the estimated winning probability of Team A and Team B against a larger set of teams.