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  2. Correlation does not imply causation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Correlation_does_not_imply...

    The word "cause" (or "causation") has multiple meanings in English. In philosophical terminology, "cause" can refer to necessary, sufficient, or contributing causes. In examining correlation, "cause" is most often used to mean "one contributing cause" (but not necessarily the only contributing cause).

  3. Convergent cross mapping - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Convergent_cross_mapping

    Convergent cross mapping (CCM) is a statistical test for a cause-and-effect relationship between two variables that, like the Granger causality test, seeks to resolve the problem that correlation does not imply causation. [1]

  4. Causal analysis - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Causal_analysis

    Causal analysis is the field of experimental design and statistics pertaining to establishing cause and effect. [1] Typically it involves establishing four elements: correlation, sequence in time (that is, causes must occur before their proposed effect), a plausible physical or information-theoretical mechanism for an observed effect to follow from a possible cause, and eliminating the ...

  5. Causal inference - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Causal_inference

    The first step of causal inference is to formulate a falsifiable null hypothesis, which is subsequently tested with statistical methods. Frequentist statistical inference is the use of statistical methods to determine the probability that the data occur under the null hypothesis by chance; Bayesian inference is used to determine the effect of ...

  6. Causal model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Causal_model

    Judea Pearl defines a causal model as an ordered triple ,, , where U is a set of exogenous variables whose values are determined by factors outside the model; V is a set of endogenous variables whose values are determined by factors within the model; and E is a set of structural equations that express the value of each endogenous variable as a function of the values of the other variables in U ...

  7. Bradford Hill criteria - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradford_Hill_criteria

    The argument proposes that there are different motives behind defining causality; the Bradford Hill criteria applied to complex systems such as health sciences are useful in prediction models where a consequence is sought; explanation models as to why causation occurred are deduced less easily from Bradford Hill criteria because the instigation ...

  8. Exploratory causal analysis - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exploratory_causal_analysis

    Causal analysis is the field of experimental design and statistical analysis pertaining to establishing cause and effect. [1] [2] Exploratory causal analysis (ECA), also known as data causality or causal discovery [3] is the use of statistical algorithms to infer associations in observed data sets that are potentially causal under strict assumptions.

  9. Causal loop diagram - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Causal_loop_diagram

    Identifying reinforcing and balancing loops is an important step for identifying Reference Behaviour Patterns, i.e. possible dynamic behaviours of the system. Reinforcing loops are associated with exponential increases/decreases. Balancing loops are associated with reaching a plateau.