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A Federal Reserve Bank of New York report What Predicts U.S. Recessions? uses each component of the Conference Board's Leading Economic Index. That report said that the indicators signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle, and the aggregate index has been shown to drop ahead of recessions and rise before expansions. [2]
The Conference Board on Thursday said its index of leading economic indicators (LEI) rose 0.9% last month to 116.0. ... (Reuters) -A gauge of future U.S. economic activity increased in July ...
US economic output hits highest level since April 2022 amid 'greater optimism' among businesses ... The services component of S&P's report showed the index registered 57 this month, up from 55 in ...
The Atlanta Fed's GDP Now tool, which incorporates real-time data throughout the quarter to project economic growth, currently projects the US economy grew at a 3.3% annualized pace in the final ...
Leading indicators include the index of consumer expectations, building permits, and credit conditions. The Conference Board publishes a composite Leading Economic Index consisting of ten indicators designed to predict activity in the U. S. economy six to nine months in future. Components of the Conference Board's Leading Economic Indicators ...
Leading Economic Indexes – In the 1960s, the U.S. Department of Commerce began researching and releasing business cycle indicators, which use composite data points (including manufacturing, construction, and stock market indicators) to time economic expansions, recessions, and recoveries.
The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index signaled a recession in 2022. The highly regarded inverted yield curve recession indicator has been activated since November 2022.
The following reports on economic indicators are reported by United States government agencies: Business activity Wholesale Inventories; Industrial Production (Federal Reserve) Capacity Utilization; Regional Manufacturing Surveys (purchasing managers' organizations and Federal Reserve banks) Philadelphia Fed Index (Federal Reserve Bank of ...