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The latest polling analysis from 538 gave Trump a 53-in-100 chance of winning the election versus 47 out of 100 for Kamala Harris. It also gave Republicans an 87-in-100 chance of taking the Senate ...
From 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast. The year 2024 was one for the history books, and 538's visual journalists and reporters were hard at work explaining the data behind the news with ...
FiveThirtyEight is the 2008 Weblog Award Winner for "Best Political Coverage". [98] FiveThirtyEight earned a 2009 "Bloggie" as the "Best Weblog about Politics" in the 9th Annual Weblog Awards. [99] In April 2009, Silver was named "Blogger of the Year" in the 6th Annual Opinion Awards of The Week, for his work on FiveThirtyEight. [100]
This map only represents polling data. It is not a prediction for the election. ... 538 [21] through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 ...
ABC News project 538: The final poll shows Harris with a 48.0% to 46.8% edge over Trump. 270towin : Showing a composite of the latest national polls , Harris currently leads Trump by 1.2%.
This map shows how partisan states are by the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Swing states are the states in lighter colors. Most U.S. states are not highly competitive in presidential elections, often voting consistently for the same party due to longstanding demographic differences.
On Tuesday, 538 released its 2024 election forecast for the House of Representatives. The general idea behind our forecast is to combine polling data (say, on which party Americans want to control ...
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Kamala Harris Democratic Donald Trump Republican Others/ Undecided [a]Margin 270toWin [1]: through November 4, 2024