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Knowledge of g would be required in order to calculate the MSPE ... of the fitted values and the variance of the fitted values: = ... and residuals in statistics ...
The residual is the difference between the observed value and the estimated value of the quantity of interest (for example, a sample mean). The distinction is most important in regression analysis , where the concepts are sometimes called the regression errors and regression residuals and where they lead to the concept of studentized residuals .
The general regression model with n observations and k explanators, the first of which is a constant unit vector whose coefficient is the regression intercept, is = + where y is an n × 1 vector of dependent variable observations, each column of the n × k matrix X is a vector of observations on one of the k explanators, is a k × 1 vector of true coefficients, and e is an n× 1 vector of the ...
It is common to make the additional stipulation that the ordinary least squares (OLS) method should be used: the accuracy of each predicted value is measured by its squared residual (vertical distance between the point of the data set and the fitted line), and the goal is to make the sum of these squared deviations as small as possible.
In statistics, deviance is a goodness-of-fit statistic for a statistical model; it is often used for statistical hypothesis testing.It is a generalization of the idea of using the sum of squares of residuals (SSR) in ordinary least squares to cases where model-fitting is achieved by maximum likelihood.
Given this procedure, the PRESS statistic can be calculated for a number of candidate model structures for the same dataset, with the lowest values of PRESS indicating the best structures. Models that are over-parameterised ( over-fitted ) would tend to give small residuals for observations included in the model-fitting but large residuals for ...
The residuals from a fitted model are the differences between the responses observed at each combination of values of the explanatory variables and the corresponding prediction of the response computed using the regression function. Mathematically, the definition of the residual for the i th observation in the data set is written
The degree of freedom, =, equals the number of observations n minus the number of fitted parameters m. In weighted least squares , the definition is often written in matrix notation as χ ν 2 = r T W r ν , {\displaystyle \chi _{\nu }^{2}={\frac {r^{\mathrm {T} }Wr}{\nu }},} where r is the vector of residuals, and W is the weight matrix, the ...