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Meanwhile, Polymarket shows Trump has a 54% chance of winning the presidential election with Harris trailing behind at just a 45.3% chance. PredictIt’s markets are a little closer.
Her odds of becoming the next president have jumped from 18% to 29% on Polymarket, and up from 27% to 40% on PredictIt. FiveThirtyEight’s approval poll show a 50% disapproval rating for the vice ...
For free market purists, the success of betting sites like Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt isn’t surprising at all. The basic theory behind prediction markets is that a lot of people with money ...
Polymarket and Kalshi were big winners of the election. But can they maintain their momentum until 2028?
As of 11:55 a.m. on Friday, Polymarket odds showed Trump had a 60.1% chance of becoming the 47th president, compared with just 39.8% for Harris. ... In Other News. Entertainment. Entertainment.
The prediction market Polymarket had Donald Trump favored to win the presidential election, and then he became the president-elect, again. Now people are betting on who will be his pick for ...
Polymarket said it made contact with the trader and found no evidence of market manipulation, saying the trader was “taking a directional position based on personal views of the election.”
The majority of bets went for Trump, with $1.3 billion wagered on the former president and $827 million on Harris. Polymarket users have wagered $3.2 billion on the outcome of the election—and ...