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  2. Harris-Trump polls tighten, but PredictIt and Polymarket tell ...

    www.aol.com/finance/harris-trump-polls-tighten...

    Meanwhile, Polymarket shows Trump has a 54% chance of winning the presidential election with Harris trailing behind at just a 45.3% chance. PredictIt’s markets are a little closer.

  3. How prediction markets saw something the polls and pundits didn’t

    www.aol.com/prediction-markets-saw-something...

    For free market purists, the success of betting sites like Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt isn’t surprising at all. The basic theory behind prediction markets is that a lot of people with money ...

  4. Trump’s chances dip slightly on Polymarket, Cooper favored as ...

    www.aol.com/finance/trump-chances-dip-slightly...

    Her odds of becoming the next president have jumped from 18% to 29% on Polymarket, and up from 27% to 40% on PredictIt. FiveThirtyEight’s approval poll show a 50% disapproval rating for the vice ...

  5. Here's what people are betting on in prediction markets now ...

    www.aol.com/heres-people-betting-prediction...

    Here are some of the most popular bets on Kalshi and Polymarket now that the election is over. Super Bowl Champion 2025 The Chargers and Chiefs last faced off in January 2024.

  6. Traders on Polymarket are betting on Harris’s odds of beating ...

    www.aol.com/finance/traders-polymarket-betting...

    Polymarket’s future in the U.S. remains in doubt. In 2021, derivative market regulator the Commodity Futures Trading Commission fined the platform over $1 million for operating in the U.S.

  7. Why prediction markets can be more accurate than polls at ...

    www.aol.com/why-prediction-markets-more-accurate...

    Prediction markets can be more accurate than polling when it comes to elections, a professor told Business Insider. There's over $606 million wagered on the 2024 election on Polymarket, favoring a ...

  8. Polymarket predicted Trump's win. Now comes the hard part.

    www.aol.com/news/polymarket-predicted-trumps-win...

    Home & Garden. Lighter Side. Medicare

  9. Polymarket users are betting on Scott Bessent to be Trump’s ...

    www.aol.com/finance/polymarket-users-betting...

    The prediction market Polymarket had Donald Trump favored to win the presidential election, and then he became the president-elect, again. Now people are betting on who will be his pick for ...