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In probability theory, the chain rule [1] (also called the general product rule [2] [3]) describes how to calculate the probability of the intersection of, not necessarily independent, events or the joint distribution of random variables respectively, using conditional probabilities.
In probability theory, Boole's inequality, also known as the union bound, says that for any finite or countable set of events, the probability that at least one of the events happens is no greater than the sum of the probabilities of the individual events. This inequality provides an upper bound on the probability of occurrence of at least one ...
In probability theory, an event is a subset of outcomes of an experiment (a subset of the sample space) to which a probability is assigned. [1] A single outcome may be an element of many different events, [2] and different events in an experiment are usually not equally likely, since they may include very different groups of outcomes. [3]
In probability theory, the law (or formula) of total probability is a fundamental rule relating marginal probabilities to conditional probabilities. It expresses the total probability of an outcome which can be realized via several distinct events , hence the name.
The formula expresses the fact that the sum of the sizes of the two sets may be too large since some elements may be counted twice. The double-counted elements are those in the intersection of the two sets and the count is corrected by subtracting the size of the intersection.
Probability of the union of pairwise independent events [ edit ] Bounds on the probability that the sum of Bernoulli random variables is at least one, commonly known as the union bound , are provided by the Boole–Fréchet [ 4 ] [ 5 ] inequalities.
Then the unconditional probability that = is 3/6 = 1/2 (since there are six possible rolls of the dice, of which three are even), whereas the probability that = conditional on = is 1/3 (since there are three possible prime number rolls—2, 3, and 5—of which one is even).
The probability that X n = 0 occurs for infinitely many n is equivalent to the probability of the intersection of infinitely many [X n = 0] events. The intersection of infinitely many such events is a set of outcomes common to all of them. However, the sum ΣPr(X n = 0) converges to π 2 /6 ≈ 1.645 < ∞, and so the Borel–Cantelli Lemma ...