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A global catastrophic risk or a doomsday scenario is a hypothetical event that could damage human well-being on a global scale, [2] even endangering or destroying modern civilization. [3] An event that could cause human extinction or permanently and drastically curtail humanity's existence or potential is known as an "existential risk". [4]
deliberate (in the form of bioterrorism or biological weapons) accidental, or; a naturally occurring event. A chapter on biotechnology and biosecurity was included in Nick Bostrom's 2008 anthology Global Catastrophic Risks, which covered risks including viral agents. [3] Since then, new technologies like CRISPR and gene drives have been introduced.
The Report is a collaborative effort by 145 authors from 50 countries, [8] produced over a three-year period and supported by some 310 authors' contributions. [9] The Global Assessment Report comprises some 1,700 pages [8] evaluating over 15,000 scientific publications and reports from indigenous peoples. [10]
Describing the first category, which it calls “weaponization risk,” the report states: “such systems could potentially be used to design and even execute catastrophic biological, chemical ...
A shocking new report on global biodiversity is detailing what it calls "a catastrophic decline" in wildlife populations ahead of a major international conference on biodiversity.
Scenarios in which a global catastrophic risk creates harm have been widely discussed. Some sources of catastrophic risk are anthropogenic (caused by humans), such as global warming, [1] environmental degradation, and nuclear war. [2] Others are non-anthropogenic or natural, such as meteor impacts or supervolcanoes.
Managing these extreme technological risks is an urgent task - but one that poses particular difficulties and has been comparatively neglected in academia. [3] CSER researchers developed a widely used tool to automatically scan the scientific literature for new research relevant to global risk. [4]
The historical precursors of existential risks studies can be found in early 19th-century thought around human extinction and the more recent models and theories of global catastrophic risk that date mainly to the Cold War period, especially the thinking around a hypothetical nuclear holocaust. [7]