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One counterargument to the doomsday argument agrees with its statistical methods but disagrees with its extinction-time estimate. This position requires justifying why the observer cannot be assumed to be randomly selected from the set of all humans ever to be born, which implies that this set is not an appropriate reference class.
By this time it is estimated that a gamma ray burst, or massive, hyperenergetic supernova, would have occurred within 6,500 light-years of Earth; close enough for its rays to affect Earth's ozone layer and potentially trigger a mass extinction, assuming the hypothesis is correct that a previous such explosion triggered the Ordovician–Silurian ...
Nuclear war is an often-predicted cause of the extinction of humankind. [1]Human extinction or omnicide is the hypothetical end of the human species, either by population decline due to extraneous natural causes, such as an asteroid impact or large-scale volcanism, or via anthropogenic destruction (self-extinction), for example by sub-replacement fertility.
The estimated time of peak habitability in the universe, unless habitability around low-mass stars is suppressed. [135] 1.2×10 13 (12 trillion) The estimated time until the red dwarf VB 10, as of 2016 the least-massive main-sequence star with an estimated mass of 0.075 M ☉, runs out of hydrogen in its core and becomes a white dwarf. [136] [137]
The death clock calculator is a conceptual idea of a predictive algorithm that uses personal socioeconomic, demographic, or health data (such as gender, age, or BMI) to estimate a person's lifespan and provide an estimated time of death.
Aptian extinction: 117 Ma: Unknown, but may be due to volcanism of the Rajmahal Traps [15] Jurassic: End-Jurassic (Tithonian) 145 Ma: No longer regarded as a major extinction but rather a series of lesser events due to bolide impacts, eruptions of flood basalts, climate change and disruptions to oceanic systems [16] Pliensbachian-Toarcian ...
There are three different ways to calculate background extinction rate. [5] The first is simply the number of species that normally go extinct over a given period of time. For example, at the background rate one species of bird will go extinct every estimated 400 years. [6] Another way the extinction rate can be given is in million species ...
A global catastrophic risk or a doomsday scenario is a hypothetical event that could damage human well-being on a global scale, [2] even endangering or destroying modern civilization. [3] An event that could cause human extinction or permanently and drastically curtail humanity's existence or potential is known as an "existential risk". [4]