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When we find fewer than five polls in 2016 or fewer than two polls since July 2016, we use Cook Political Report ratings to estimate where the race stands. We run the simulations out to Election Day, Nov. 8. Since we don’t have polling data for the future, the model assumes voter intentions generally continue along their current trajectories.
We calculate the probable outcome for each individual Senate race, and then we use those probabilities to determine the likely seat counts on election night. 1. State-By-State Probabilities. We estimate the probability of a win in each Senate race using publicly available polls in the HuffPost Pollster database.
Voters in each state decide how their state's electors will vote. Most states are winner-take-all: whoever wins in California earns all 55 of its electoral college votes.
Election 2016. June 7. Share on ... New Jersey poll averages compiled by HuffPost Pollster at ... North Dakota Republicans won't hold a presidential primary vote in ...
Republican voters in Iowa turned out in record numbers for the GOP caucus, showing strong support for Ted Cruz. Marco Rubio finished a close third despite lagging well behind Donald Trump in the polls. Other candidates, like Jeb Bush, failed to gain traction with voters.
Voters in each state decide how their state's electors will vote. Most states are winner-take-all: whoever wins in California earns all 55 of its electoral college votes.
Election 2016. New York Primaries April 19, 2016. Share on Facebook Share on Twitter ... New York poll averages compiled by HuffPost Pollster at ...
The same poll found that 24 percent of voters said they would either abstain from voting in the general election rather than vote for Trump or Clinton or vote for a third-party candidate.