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The proposition in probability theory known as the law of total expectation, [1] the law of iterated expectations [2] (LIE), Adam's law, [3] the tower rule, [4] and the smoothing theorem, [5] among other names, states that if is a random variable whose expected value is defined, and is any random variable on the same probability space, then
The normal equations can be derived directly from a matrix representation of the problem as follows. The objective is to minimize = ‖ ‖ = () = +.Here () = has the dimension 1x1 (the number of columns of ), so it is a scalar and equal to its own transpose, hence = and the quantity to minimize becomes
The law of iterated logarithms operates "in between" the law of large numbers and the central limit theorem.There are two versions of the law of large numbers — the weak and the strong — and they both state that the sums S n, scaled by n −1, converge to zero, respectively in probability and almost surely:
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The term law of total probability is sometimes taken to mean the law of alternatives, which is a special case of the law of total probability applying to discrete random variables. [ citation needed ] One author uses the terminology of the "Rule of Average Conditional Probabilities", [ 4 ] while another refers to it as the "continuous law of ...
In probability theory, the law of total variance [1] or variance decomposition formula or conditional variance formulas or law of iterated variances also known as Eve's law, [2] states that if and are random variables on the same probability space, and the variance of is finite, then
The law of total covariance can be proved using the law of total expectation: First, (,) = [] [] [] from a simple standard identity on covariances. Then we apply the law of total expectation by conditioning on the random variable Z:
The 1976 book Proofs and Refutations is based on the first three chapters of his 1961 four-chapter doctoral thesis Essays in the Logic of Mathematical Discovery.But its first chapter is Lakatos's own revision of its chapter 1 that was first published as Proofs and Refutations in four parts in 1963–4 in the British Journal for the Philosophy of Science.