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  2. Autoregressive integrated moving average - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autoregressive_integrated...

    In time series analysis used in statistics and econometrics, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and seasonal ARIMA (SARIMA) models are generalizations of the autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model to non-stationary series and periodic variation, respectively.

  3. Box–Jenkins method - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Box–Jenkins_method

    For example, for monthly data one would typically include either a seasonal AR 12 term or a seasonal MA 12 term. For Box–Jenkins models, one does not explicitly remove seasonality before fitting the model. Instead, one includes the order of the seasonal terms in the model specification to the ARIMA estimation software. However, it may be ...

  4. Autoregressive moving-average model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autoregressive_moving...

    Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models non-stationary time series (that is, whose mean changes over time). Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) models time series where the variance changes. Seasonal ARIMA (SARIMA or periodic ARMA) models periodic variation.

  5. Autoregressive model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autoregressive_model

    Together with the moving-average (MA) model, it is a special case and key component of the more general autoregressive–moving-average (ARMA) and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models of time series, which have a more complicated stochastic structure; it is also a special case of the vector autoregressive model (VAR), which ...

  6. Autocorrelation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autocorrelation

    In regression analysis using time series data, autocorrelation in a variable of interest is typically modeled either with an autoregressive model (AR), a moving average model (MA), their combination as an autoregressive-moving-average model (ARMA), or an extension of the latter called an autoregressive integrated moving average model (ARIMA).

  7. Do Americans approve of President Trump? Here's what polls ...

    www.aol.com/americans-approve-president-trump...

    Demonstrators gather near the U.S. Capitol on Presidents' Day to protest against U.S. President Donald Trump's actions during his first weeks in office, in Washington, D.C., U.S., February 17, 2025.