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Extreme value theory is used to model the risk of extreme, rare events, such as the 1755 Lisbon earthquake.. Extreme value theory or extreme value analysis (EVA) is the study of extremes in statistical distributions.
In probability theory and statistics, the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution [2] is a family of continuous probability distributions developed within extreme value theory to combine the Gumbel, Fréchet and Weibull families also known as type I, II and III extreme value distributions.
The sample extrema can be used for a simple normality test, specifically of kurtosis: one computes the t-statistic of the sample maximum and minimum (subtracts sample mean and divides by the sample standard deviation), and if they are unusually large for the sample size (as per the three sigma rule and table therein, or more precisely a Student ...
If the domain X is a metric space, then f is said to have a local (or relative) maximum point at the point x ∗, if there exists some ε > 0 such that f(x ∗) ≥ f(x) for all x in X within distance ε of x ∗. Similarly, the function has a local minimum point at x ∗, if f(x ∗) ≤ f(x) for all x in X within distance ε of x ∗.
The relative likelihood of θ is ... the test statistic is twice the difference in log-likelihoods and the probability distribution of the test statistic is ...
is the probability of exceedance, the probability that y max has been exceeded at least once by time t. [ 7 ] [ 8 ] This probability can be useful to estimate whether an extreme event will occur during a specified time period, such as the lifespan of a structure or the duration of an operation.
In measure-theoretic probability theory, the density function is defined as the Radon–Nikodym derivative of the probability distribution relative to a common dominating measure. [5] The likelihood function is this density interpreted as a function of the parameter, rather than the random variable. [ 6 ]
Finding the extrema of functionals is similar to finding the maxima and minima of functions. The maxima and minima of a function may be located by finding the points where its derivative vanishes (i.e., is equal to zero). The extrema of functionals may be obtained by finding functions for which the functional derivative is equal to