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The average return during recessions was -1.96% per year, versus 7.72% per year during expansions. The reward for the average investor over the period 1960 to 2017 is a compounded return of 3.39% points above the risk-less rate earned by savers. [20]
Conversely, some periods, such as the decade from 2011 to 2020, saw higher-than-average returns, with years like 2013 and 2019 witnessing returns of over 30 percent.
An annual rate of return is a return over a period of one year, such as January 1 through December 31, or June 3, 2006, through June 2, 2007, whereas an annualized rate of return is a rate of return per year, measured over a period either longer or shorter than one year, such as a month, or two years, annualized for comparison with a one-year ...
Using market data from both estimated (1881–1956) and actual (1957 onward) earnings reports from the S&P index, Shiller and Campbell found that the lower the CAPE, the higher the investors' likely return from equities over the following 20 years. The average CAPE value for the 20th century was 15.21; this corresponds to an average annual ...
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In both scenarios, dollar-cost averaging provides better outcomes: At $60 per share. Dollar-cost averaging delivers a $6,900 gain, compared to a $2,400 gain with the lump sum approach.
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