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Any non-linear differentiable function, (,), of two variables, and , can be expanded as + +. If we take the variance on both sides and use the formula [11] for the variance of a linear combination of variables (+) = + + (,), then we obtain | | + | | +, where is the standard deviation of the function , is the standard deviation of , is the standard deviation of and = is the ...
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For example, an experimental uncertainty analysis of an undergraduate physics lab experiment in which a pendulum can estimate the value of the local gravitational acceleration constant g.
Figure 1. Schematic representation of uncertainty analysis and sensitivity analysis. In mathematical modeling, uncertainty arises from a variety of sources - errors in input data, parameter estimation and approximation procedure, underlying hypothesis, choice of model, alternative model structures and so on.
Stability is a measure of the sensitivity to rounding errors of a given numerical procedure; by contrast, the condition number of a function for a given problem indicates the inherent sensitivity of the function to small perturbations in its input and is independent of the implementation used to solve the problem. [5] [6]
The delta method was derived from propagation of error, and the idea behind was known in the early 20th century. [1] Its statistical application can be traced as far back as 1928 by T. L. Kelley. [2] A formal description of the method was presented by J. L. Doob in 1935. [3] Robert Dorfman also described a version of it in 1938. [4]
The coefficients found by Fehlberg for Formula 1 (derivation with his parameter α 2 =1/3) are given in the table below, using array indexing of base 1 instead of base 0 to be compatible with most computer languages:
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