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But the most important number offered by Fed officials was the FOMC’s surprisingly bullish expectations for economic growth, revised upward, as our Chart of the Week shows.
This week, a fresh reading on the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, will highlight the economic calendar. ... up from 2.8% the month prior and ...
For the week, the Nasdaq Composite rose more than 1%, while the S&P 500 was near flat. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ( ^DJI ) fell more than 2%. All three indexes were still near record highs.
The Fed’s dot plot is a chart updated quarterly that records each Fed official’s projection for the central bank’s key short-term interest rate, the federal funds rate. The dots reflect what ...
The rule considers the federal funds rate, the price level and changes in real income. [3] The Taylor rule computes the optimal federal funds rate based on the gap between the desired (targeted) inflation rate and the actual inflation rate; and the output gap between the actual and natural output level.
Over the prior year, prices rose 2.7% in September, above Wall Street's expectations for 2.6% and in line with the 2.7% seen in August. On a yearly basis, overall PCE increased 2.1%, its slowest ...
Robert Shiller's plot of the S&P 500 price–earnings ratio (P/E) versus long-term Treasury yields (1871–2012), from Irrational Exuberance. [1]The P/E ratio is the inverse of the E/P ratio, and from 1921 to 1928 and 1987 to 2000, supports the Fed model (i.e. P/E ratio moves inversely to the treasury yield), however, for all other periods, the relationship of the Fed model fails; [2] [3] even ...
The biggest question for investors this week is whether a new batch of data supports Fed Chair Jerome Powell's assertion that the US economy remains strong. A second quarter GDP reading due ...