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In probability theory and statistics, the Poisson distribution (/ ˈ p w ɑː s ɒ n /) is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time if these events occur with a known constant mean rate and independently of the time since the last event. [1]
Related to this distribution are a number of other distributions: the displaced Poisson, the hyper-Poisson, the general Poisson binomial and the Poisson type distributions. The Conway–Maxwell–Poisson distribution, a two-parameter extension of the Poisson distribution with an adjustable rate of decay.
This distribution is also known as the conditional Poisson distribution [1] or the positive Poisson distribution. [2] It is the conditional probability distribution of a Poisson-distributed random variable, given that the value of the random variable is not zero. Thus it is impossible for a ZTP random variable to be zero.
In statistics, Poisson regression is a generalized linear model form of regression analysis used to model count data and contingency tables. [1] Poisson regression assumes the response variable Y has a Poisson distribution, and assumes the logarithm of its expected value can be modeled by a linear combination of unknown parameters.
The probability mass function of a Poisson-distributed random variable with mean μ is given by (;) =!.for (and zero otherwise). The Skellam probability mass function for the difference of two independent counts = is the convolution of two Poisson distributions: (Skellam, 1946)
Via the law of total cumulance it can be shown that, if the mean of the Poisson distribution λ = 1, the cumulants of Y are the same as the moments of X 1. [citation needed] Every infinitely divisible probability distribution is a limit of compound Poisson distributions. [1] And compound Poisson distributions is infinitely divisible by the ...
For example, count data are commonly modeled using the Poisson distribution, whose variance is equal to its mean. The distribution may be generalized by allowing for variability in its rate parameter, implemented via a gamma distribution, which results in a marginal negative binomial distribution. This distribution is similar in its shape to ...
One of the limitations of the Poisson distribution is that it assumes equidispersion – the mean and variance of the variable are equal. [2] The displaced Poisson distribution may be useful to model underdispersed or overdispersed data, such as: the distribution of insect populations in crop fields; [3] the number of flowers on plants; [1]