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Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race.
Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. As of Friday at 10 a.m. Eastern, our ...
ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls with 48.4% to Trump's 45.9% versus the very close Pennsylvania poll that has Harris at 47.8% and Trump at 47.3%
ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls 47.1% to Trump 44.4% compared to one week ago - Harris 47.1% to Trump at 43.9% and ... Biden, Trump send different Christmas ...
ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls 48.5% over Trump 46.1% compared to last week Harris was 48% over Trump 47.3% compared to Harris 48.5% over Trump 45.8% two weeks ago ...
In the leadup to Biden's withdrawal, 538 was the only professional election forecaster to give Biden majority odds of winning the 2024 election. [93] Silver criticized Morris's model, describing it as at best ignoring the polls and giving Biden positive odds merely due to his incumbency, and at worst as being "buggy".
President Joe Biden dropped out of the race shortly after the June 27 presidential debate against Trump. ... ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls 47.0% to Trump at 43.7%.
In the final days before the 2020 presidential election, polls generally pointed to a clear victory for now-President Joe Biden. As of Oct. 30 at 11:30 a.m. Eastern, the margin between Vice ...