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Heuer's book Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis, published in 2010 (second edition 2015) and co-authored with Randy H. Pherson, provides a comprehensive taxonomy of structured analytic techniques (SATs) pertaining to eight categories: decomposition and visualization, idea generation, scenarios and indicators, hypothesis generation and testing, cause and effect, challenge ...
JASP (Jeffreys’s Amazing Statistics Program [2]) is a free and open-source program for statistical analysis supported by the University of Amsterdam. It is designed to be easy to use, and familiar to users of SPSS .
The Breusch–Godfrey test is a test for autocorrelation in the errors in a regression model. It makes use of the residuals from the model being considered in a regression analysis, and a test statistic is derived from these. The null hypothesis is that there is no serial correlation of any order up to p. [3]
An example of Neyman–Pearson hypothesis testing (or null hypothesis statistical significance testing) can be made by a change to the radioactive suitcase example. If the "suitcase" is actually a shielded container for the transportation of radioactive material, then a test might be used to select among three hypotheses: no radioactive source ...
Neyman–Pearson lemma [5] — Existence:. If a hypothesis test satisfies condition, then it is a uniformly most powerful (UMP) test in the set of level tests.. Uniqueness: If there exists a hypothesis test that satisfies condition, with >, then every UMP test in the set of level tests satisfies condition with the same .
FREE Resources: 3 articles every 2 weeks (Register and Read Program, archived journals). Also, early journals (prior to 1923 in US, 1870 elsewhere) free, no registry necessary. Free and Subscription JSTOR [88] Jurn: Multidisciplinary Jurn is a free-to-use online search tool for finding and downloading free full-text scholarly works.
Heuer outlines the ACH process in considerable depth in his book, Psychology of Intelligence Analysis. [1] It consists of the following steps: Hypothesis – The first step of the process is to identify all potential hypotheses, preferably using a group of analysts with different perspectives to brainstorm the possibilities.
Neyman believed that hypothesis testing represented a generalization and improvement of significance testing. The rationale for their methods can be found in their collaborative papers. [10] Hypothesis testing involves considering multiple hypotheses and selecting one among them, akin to making a multiple-choice decision.