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Since 1981, federal budget deficits have increased under Republican presidents Ronald Reagan, both Bushes, and Trump, while deficits have declined under Democratic presidents Clinton and Obama. The economy ran surpluses during Clinton's last four fiscal years, the first surpluses since 1969.
The Congressional Budget Office projected two weeks prior to Obama's first inauguration that the deficit in FY 2009 (a year budgeted by President Bush) would be $1.2 trillion and that the debt increase over the following decade would be $3.1 trillion assuming the expiration of the Bush tax cuts as scheduled in 2010, or around $6.0 trillion if ...
CBO current law baseline as of May 2023, showing forecast of deficit and debt by year. The budget document often begins with the President's proposal to Congress recommending funding levels for the next fiscal year, beginning October 1 and ending on September 30 of the year following. The fiscal year refers to the year in which it ends.
Before the COVID-19 pandemic, the fiscal year deficit did not top $1 trillion. Now, Americans are in danger of $2 trillion becoming the new normal. Recently, the federal figures
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The last time the deficit came in under 3% of GDP was in 2015, Obama’s seventh year in office. During Donald Trump’s first three years in office, the deficit averaged 4% of GDP.
The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget estimated that the budget deficit for fiscal year 2020 would increase to a record $3.8 trillion (~$4.41 trillion in 2023), or 18.7% GDP. [119] For scale, in 2009 the budget deficit reached 9.8% GDP ($1.4 trillion nominal dollars) in the depths of the Great Recession.
This was the highest budget deficit relative to GDP (9.9%) since 1945. [54] The national debt increased by $1.9 trillion during FY2009, versus the $1.0 trillion increase during 2008. [55] The Obama Administration also made four significant accounting changes to more accurately report total federal government spending. The four changes were: